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  1. Donald

    Long time lurker, first time poster..with a small account less that 12k, what to do?

    Thanks onyxperidot....good stuff. Looping back to risk, etc....I just stumbled upon a comment by Vance Harwood (a very experienced volatility researcher)...his advice echoes John Locke's and Jim Riggio's wise words that I posted earlier....see what you think: source...
  2. Donald

    Long time lurker, first time poster..with a small account less that 12k, what to do?

    No worries jrob... I still hate the sound of a phone ringing to this day....! Reason: I used to swing trade Australian and NZ index futures back in the late 1980s/early 1990s, and back in those days, you had to pick up the phone and talk to your broker to execute everything, even to move a...
  3. Donald

    Long time lurker, first time poster..with a small account less that 12k, what to do?

    What a great thread, with really interesting replies. Myron...I love your quote... I think it's a balance between another quote I stumbled upon: "A Ship in Harbor Is Safe, But that Is Not What Ships Are Built For" John A. Shedd (as you allude to with "nothing ventured, nothing gained"), and...
  4. Donald

    Fooled by Randomness

    Here's more information I stumbled upon recently on this topic ....quite an interesting blog the guy has, too.... Why So Many Overestimate Their Technical Analysis Skills Posted on March 19, 2017 by Many traders overestimate their technical analysis skills and this mainly involves those using...
  5. Donald

    Fooled by Randomness

    Max, I forgot to post a link to this book www.amazon.com/Evidence-Based-Technical-Analysis-Scientific-Statistical/dp/0470008741 .... I stumbled upon it while reading up on vol strategies ( http://www.naaim.org/wp-content/upl...latility-Investing-+-Abstract-Tony-Cooper.pdf ). Might be worth a...
  6. Donald

    Fooled by Randomness

    Very true, points 1. and 2. I must admit, I found the authors personal view honest and amusing: My personal interest in blackjack began with a 1973 book by John Archer. But I can attest that card counting is boring, error-prone, and not very lucrative. It is nowhere near as glamorous—or as...
  7. Donald

    Fooled by Randomness

    Another interesting way of interacting with probability and it's short term and long term effects is to study the statistical similarities of the stock market with the casino game of blackjack (where the casino edge can be reduced to 0.5% playing a basic strategy....think of it as the drain on...
  8. Donald

    Fooled by Randomness

    I agree with Kevin and Dan here. Interestingly, on the topic that Kevin is illustrating with randomly generated series, Edward Thorpe's views as discussed in "Hedge Fund Market Wizards" concur: (his original fund, Princeton Newport Partners, achieved an annualized gross return of 19.1 percent...
  9. Donald

    My OptionVue Experience

    DDE is indeed an antiquated 32-bit protocol that I would be not too keen to use on a 64-bit environment. I was of that view myself, until I stumbled upon this discussion on the benefits of DDE vs RTD for calculation of Arbs in MS Excel: After extensive testing of low latency feed handling we...
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