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  1. K

    ivolatility data Black Friday sale

    Be careful though. I bought SPX historical intra day data from them and realized that they are missing the corresponding SPX price and some greeks before 2014. It's not a bug but they confirmed they don't have the data.
  2. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    Because candidates have to take a comprehension and math test. The first one is easy. The math test includes multivariable calculus differential equations, probability and statistics, and linear algebra. They assume undergraduate level competency. It wasn’t trivial for me because I’ve forgotten...
  3. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    Vladimir and I are working on a project to build an AI agent for options trading using reinforcement learning. Will loop you in if you’re interested. Already sent you private message about this.
  4. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    For Python, I learned by doing and googling. If you prefer more structured courses, I strongly recommend courses in Udacity or Coursera. Lots of free Python classes. But personally, I suggest paid courses because that forces you to work on the projects. For ML and AI, I took several Nanodegree...
  5. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    Regardless of one's view of artificial intelligence, one thing is irrefutable - the rise of data is already impacting every profession and our lives. Today, traditional business like banking, retail, manufacturing, logistics etc... have already turned into data driven businesses. Companies that...
  6. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    Ha ha ... it looks creepy because it’s 90% human like. When a robot is only 50% human like, it won’t look creepy. It’ll just be like a toy but when it gets to 90%, it’ll becomes creepy because suddenly we start associating it as human. Whether we like it or not, robots like this will be...
  7. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    For a light-hearted view of artificial intelligence..... progress in human-like robots has been staggering in recent years. Though clearly still some ways to go but it's phenomenal what has already been achieved
  8. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    This is an example from a blog post on how to use neural network to predict volatility. I'm seeing more and more people attempting to use machine learning on volatility and markets as a whole. It's an interesting trend...
  9. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    Mispricing, if they exist, can be found using traditional non-learning data analysis techniques. This scenario may play out in the future but that's probably many years away. Although AI has done seemingly incredible stuff, the technology is still very rudimentary. In the foreseeable future...
  10. K

    Options trading and artificial intelligence

    I'm sharing this for those who are interested in the subject. https://deepmind.com/blog/alphago-zero-learning-scratch/ I'm sure many of us are familiar with AlphaGo, the AI program by DeepMind owned by Google, that managed to beat the best human Go players, a feat unimaginable just couple...
  11. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Since I did the video, OV has already added "Mid Price" as one of the download items. Try that. Then compare the downloaded mid price of the individual option with what you see on OV. If there is a difference, then it's a bug. You should report that to OV.
  12. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Sorry not sure I understand your question. What are the two sources you're comparing? OV backtrader data vs what?
  13. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Oh I see what you are asking now. If you started with a 2 tranche M3 and exited 1 tranche, I would treat the remainder as 1 tranche and decide on adjustments based on 1 tranche greeks.
  14. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Hi Sergei, You'll first need to work out the profit targets and exit timing as part of your trade plan and ensure that plan is properly back tested. Although we can be trading the same M3, but different M3 trade plan will call for a different decision on adjustments as well as profit taking...
  15. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Glad that you found a solution to the issue. I started to look at my options position differently after I listened to Elon Musk talk about the concept of First Principle Thinking. Here's a good video on that subject and another article...
  16. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Hi SVL, This is how I'd think about the issue : 1. Firstly, I'd look at the butterfly of lot 1 alone, without the call. I'd look at whether it is still contributing to the overall position or is it a drag. Butterfly's primary job is to provide positive theta in my opinion. If it isn't then...
  17. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Wow... looks very interesting. Have you tried? Is power BI free? I'll try to play with it later.
  18. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    No definite DTE to start reducing position but usually it'll be around 21 - 14 DTE. It all depends on how the position is and whether I need to do an adjustment. I'd reduce as part of my adjustment.
  19. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    Hi Sergei, Yes, you are correct. I manage my position as a whole, although I enter butterflies in batches as and when funds become available as I close off my previous month's position. I know some others enter at different times for risk diversification. I did that in the past but I no longer...
  20. K

    How to create an Excel table containing butterfly prices

    OV had this for a long time according to Len but very few know about it. It just sat there dormant. I told Len this is huge and urged him to fix the file name issue. I am glad too that this is now available.
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