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  1. M

    ONE in Mac

    Hi Jesus, check archives of this forum. Some time ago there was long discussion about ONE on Mac. My advice is still the same - if you have to use ONE buy separate device, miniPC for example or used office computer ( I forgot how they should be properly referred to ). Those are cheap, for bit...
  2. M

    New Federal Reporting for State-Registered Entities

    Thanks for info, Andrew.
  3. M

    0 DTE Iron Condor Results

    Right. No doubt your data shows it was a profitable trade. What I'm saying is that expectancy number itself rather doesn't really mean much. Trade can be good or bad regardless of expectancy. The important part would be to see if the trade can uphold good expectancy in broad range of markets...
  4. M

    0 DTE Iron Condor Results

    Happy New Year! Interesting. I'm always open to new ideas and thanks for sharing your trades, Tom. Results are good. Bit worrisome is fact that average losses exceed avg wins. That means that you need to be decent in catching market direction or figure out how to efficiently net the market...
  5. M

    My crystal ball was active today

    Well... I was wrong. I was wrong looking at that crystal ball again. I saw at Gaza conflict developing and expected this to 'escalate quickly' causing some panic on the markets even if only for the reason that traders are confused. Didn't happen. Some up move was in the cards ofc, but not what...
  6. M

    Does negative theta in a BWB position mean time decay isn't working in your favor?

    What TOS says seems to be ok. That negative theta is a result of deep you have on call side of BF (on expiration graph). As time goes by t lines morph to match expiration and 'the deep" pulls t-line down. That pull is strong enough to give you negative theta inside BF. That said, theta is very...
  7. M

    My crystal ball was active today

    Some time ago Wayne shared info from his crystal ball (chart lines, or what ever it was) and issued dire warning for long stock holders. It did not pan out and we may be looking for new info about what stocks will do. So, I was doing some house cleaning and found my version of crystal. Actually...
  8. M

    What a Great Day for a Butterfly, Check out the ABE Indicator that is coming soon!

    Wayne, congrats on your new indicator. Hope you will do well with it. I understand it's propriety and don't ask for any details but I'm interested in how ABE line looks for the historical data. Can you post a picture of ABE line for, say, past 3 years? That would be ideal but even 1 year would...
  9. M

    MOC Imbalance - Is there an edge?

    Thank you for kind words.No, no curve fitting. If I understand correctly your intention is only to look at data. This is the right thing to do, imo. Only after that you may think of developing a strategy and then you will deal with 'curve fitting. problem. I suspect there is not enough data yet...
  10. M

    MOC Imbalance - Is there an edge?

    Hello Gariki, looks like you set up some fun for yourself. I did put few trades around MOC, just to experience it. Nothing to write home about. I'd gladly join the fun with you but lately I'm preoccupied with a study of calendars trades and prefer to stay focused, so - not this time. For your...
  11. M

    Calculating option profits

    Hi. The best toots to trace profits in many cases are pen and paper. There are situations that you may need smth else for example if you do HFTrading, or trade a lot or trade many many different underlying. Other case is if you are lazy. I suspect I'm the later and I managed developed a tool...
  12. M

    OptionVue Closing

    Lack of Fri data over the weekend in ONE is quite bad. I think DaveN is right about problem being on data provider's side not on ONE's. On the other hand ONE can (and should!) enable users to use their own data. Then each can grab some Fri data and feed them to ONE - problem solved. Technically...
  13. M

    OptionVue Closing

    Wonder what you, gents, mostly appreciate in OV. There is a possibility to build platform like OV (or better) or to spin off smaller apps that do single tasks that are in most demand. I see that backtesting was mentioned but not sure if it refers to strictly backtesting of various options...
  14. M

    Scot Ruble's Unbalanced Birds Class

    Thanks, Tom.
  15. M

    Backtests

    I think you refer to other app, not the one from the link. I linked Options Structure Analyzer which does not use any market data but is based solely on Black Scholes model. Kiwi Trader is a game I put as a side project where trying to find answers to some questions re Technical Analysis. I...
  16. M

    Backtests

    As we speak about it. Tibor, you mentioned ONE being not good in producing usable statistics. Of course, it's true. We also agreed that BT is good for new traders to learn about options. Imo, as with statistics, ONE ( I use it as an example as I know it more than other publicly available BT...
  17. M

    Researchers warn about growing risk should 0DTE broaden out..

    Quick reaction. This is troublesome paper. For me it's horrible. I read only conclusion if there is smth worthy in the body let me know. First paper suggests (but, I admit, doesn't say explicitly) that 0dte is a retail thing. It is not. 0 dte volume surge in past 2 years is form institutional...
  18. M

    Backtests

    Tibor, backtesting is a broad topic. I answered leading questions: "how realistic BT results are". My understanding of that question was that Knandi asked, more or less, if BT training is good enough to prepare a person for live actions and if BT results can predict live trading results. I...
  19. M

    Backtests

    Backtesting does not work the way you think or rather what your question suggests you think. This is why creating algo on simple BT (a la ONE or OV) will fail (although it may work for some time - giving false impressions that everything is fine). Creating trading algos is possible but it...
  20. M

    Backtests

    Technically BT results reflect what technically happens in real trading, not always, but for long dte trades, if you have good market data, if you know of potential pitfalls of BT, and you do bactesting right - it's pretty close. Problem is that irl you don't trade solely on what BT gives you...
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